Thursday, June 18, 2009

FIBONACCI LEVELS- 19-06-2009

ABOUT FIBONACCI LEVELS:
Fibonacci levels are basically Support and Resistance levels generated using 5-day’s chart (i.e) 5 day’s High, Low and Close. Hence they are more accurate than Pivot levels which are generated using previous day’s High, Low and Close.
Generally stocks look bullish above the previous day’s High and bearish below previous day’s Low. So Previous Day’s high is the minor resistance (MIR) for the scrip and the Previous Day’s low is the minor support (MIS) for the scrip.
Stocks look strong above the 5-day’s High and weak below 5-day’s Low. So Previous 5-day’s high is the major resistance (MR) for the scrip and the 5-day’s low is the major support (MS) for the scrip.
So,
MR INDICATES MAJOR RESISTANCE- 5 DAY’S HIGH
MS INDICATES MAJOR SUPPORT- 5 DAY’S LOW
MIR INDICATES MINOR RESISTANCE- PREVIOUS DAY’S HIGH
MIS INDICATES MINOR SUPPORT- PREVIOUS DAY’S LOW
SCRIP LOOKS BULLISH ABOVE PREVIOUS DAY’S HIGH
SCRIP LOOKS STRONG ABOVE 5 DAY’S HIGH
SCRIP LOOKS BEARISH BELOW PREVIOUS DAY’S LOW
SCRIP LOOKS WEAK BELOW 5 DAY’S LOW
LTP is the Last Traded Price for the scrip







Mkts to see 10-15% consolidation before Budget: Anand Rathi

Speaking on the FII selling that’s taking place, Ratnesh Kumar of Anand Rathi Securities said that after the run in the markets in the last few months some amount of profit-booking was inevitable.
With regard to the expectations from the Budget and markets’ performance, Kumar said that some amount of cut in the rally is expected. He feels the market may see a 10%–15% consolidation prior to the Budget.


Mkt may correct further; buy at 4100 Nifty: Emkay

The Indian markets have been in a consolidation phase for a while. Krishna Kumar Karwa, MD, Emkay Global Financial Services, said that the Nifty would find strong support at 4,100 for the next 10-15 days, adding that he did not see any aggressive positive news flows in the near term. Karwa said valuations were currently rich and the consolidation and price correction were justified.
Karwa recommended entering the market once it fell to 4,100 as the outlook for the market in the long term was positive given that the Indian economy would grow 6-7% and corporate earnings were likely to jump around 15% higher. He added that he saw no upside beyond 4,500 in the Nifty now.

CALL FOR THE DAY-18th june

SHORT ITC IN CASH IN NSE BELOW 191.90
WITH SL OF 196, TGTS 188.50/187/184.50

June USDOLLAR Buy @ 48.2700 SL 48.00 trg 48.50/48.65/48.75.

Money Morning 18-06-2009


MONEY MORNING
18 JUNE 2009


 Following two days of steep losses, U.S stocks saw a lackluster outing
on Wednesday, with the major averages finishing on opposite sides of
the unchanged line as mixed trader sentiment regarding near-term
economic prospects and proposed financial system reforms from the
Obama administration weighted on the markets. While Dow Jones
dropped marginally by 0.09%, NASDAQ gained marginally by 0.66%.
Asian bourses are trading mixed with Nikkei down by 1.80%, Hang
Seng down by 1.23% and Singapore Nifty up by 20 points.
 With mixed global cues, the domestic bourses might trade range bound
for the day. Technically spot nifty may take resistance at
4470/4585/4770 levels and support at 4285/4215/4035 levels.
POST-MARKET ANALYSIS:
 Weak global cues and selling by foreign funds in last two days weighed
on investor sentiment, as the key benchmark indices tumbled recording
their steepest drop in seven weeks. While Sensex dropped 2.91%, Nifty
plunged 3.58%.
 FIIs’ were net sellers both in equity and derivatives.
 ADRs: Satyam Computers. (-8.16%), Tata Motors (-3.88%), Sterlite Ind.
(-2.74%) and Dr. Reddy’s Lab (+3.59%)

NEWS TO USE:
POSITIVE

 FORTIS HEALTHCARE has emerged as the lead bidder to acquire a
part of Wockhardt Hospitals.
 TATA ELXSI will aggressively pursue projects in the automotive and
aerospace sectors into fiscal 2010.
 YES BANK would soon enter into retail brokerage business, which
would widen its fee-based income and mobilise low-cost deposits.
 OMAXE has bagged a contract worth Rs 128.34 crore from UP Projects
Corporation Ltd for various construction related works.
 BPCL has entered into an agreement with Engineers India Ltd for
commercializing the in-house technology developed by BPCL- Kochi
Refinery for removing hydrogen sulphide gas produced when crude oil
is heated to high temperature.

NEUTRAL
WOCKHARDT has sold its German subsidiary Esparma to another German company, Lindopharm
GmbH, a move that is in line with its plan to divest non-core businesses.
 JET AIRWAYS and Kingfisher Airlines, have increased their fuel surcharge by Rs 400, as a result of
successive increases in the prices of Aviation Turbine Fuel (ATF).
 M&M is betting its diesel pickup trucks can beat the Chinese to the US market.
 The Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas has gone ahead and directed RIL to make additional
allocation of natural gas from its K-G basin find to nine power companies from the surplus available
because of no or low offtake by fertiliser units.
 Daiichi Sankyo, the majority shareholder in Indian pharma major RANBAXY LABORATORIES, plans
to raise 100 billion yen through public issue of bonds.
 SAIL has sought an increase in import duty on steel to discourage cheaper arrival of the commodity,
which has seen a surge in recent times, from countries like China and Ukraine.
 JINDAL POWER is planning to launch an initial public offer (IPO) this financial year to part finance the
expansion programme of the parent firm.
 Steel czar Lakhsmi N Mittal and partners OIL AND NATURAL GAS CORP (ONGC) and Total SA of
France will invest $150 million in exploration of oil in Nigeria.
 MAN INDUSTRIES India is shelving its plan to build a $100-million plant in Arkansas, a year after
announcing the project that would have created over 250 jobs.
 Textiles Minister Dayanidhi Maran pitched for a stimulus package for the textiles sector, which has
witnessed several job losses and negative growth owing to the slowdown in the major markets of the
US and EU.
 SYNDICATE BANK has raised Rs 200 crore through issue of unsecured non-convertible sub-ordinated
debt (eligible for lower Tier-II capital).
 HDFC and HDFC BANK are set to reduce interest rates on term deposits by up to 25 basis points
 SBI is readying merger plans for two of its little-known subsidiaries, restarting a slow-moving and
controversial effort to consolidate its operations.
 RCOM is in advanced with Franco American Alcatel-Lucent for a $500 million outsourcing deal to
manage its 70,000 – 80,000 kms of fibre optic cables across the country.
 NALCO will take up after September the process of preparing a detailed project report for its proposed
2.5-lakh-tonne smelter unit in Indonesia, estimated to cost Rs 3,000 crore.

Reserch -Today view-18th june

9:48 AM 6/18 RESEARCH -Nifty (FUT) R-4475/4600/4795 S-4275/4200/4005 ; Sensex (CASH) R-14865/15205/15750 S-14315/14110/13560 ; MARKET OUTLOOK: RANGE BOUND

11:28 AM 6/18 RESEARCH: INTRADAY CALL(CASH): SHORT SELL PRISMCEM BELOW 36.90 TGT 35.70 SL 37.50

12:00 PM 6/18 RESEARCH - INTRADAY CALL (CASH) : SHORT SELL PUNJLLOYD BELOW 191.30 TGT 182 SL 195

in dips buy PTC,HDIL..........nifty fut looks bullish above 4365 below 4325 break